Experts suggest that low active cases is the effect of the lag of Fiestas Patrias

However, warn that this could increase much more in the middle of the week, as a result of the behaviour of the public last long weekend and, passing through, reopen the discussion of the parameter used to consider a patient as capable of infecting others.

Before September 18, active cases reported daily in Ministry of Health publications, 15 thousand to 16 thousand every 24 hours.

However, 14,647 were accounted for that day, the highest number so far, because from that moment on, the average change and went on at intervals of 12 and 13 thousand.

What could have caused this? The first thing to check is whether the Minsal implemented the recommendation made by the Covid-19 Advisory Council on 31 May and which consisted of a reduction in the period in which a person is deemed to be able to spread.

Our country officially establishes it from the onset of symptoms 14 days onwards, but the committee, based on international evidence, recommended 10 days from the onset of symptoms with a safety test that is not having had a fever up to 48 hours before the tenth day.

The then minister, Jaime Mañalich, tossed him, because of the problems with medical licenses, although experts were open to it being applied from the 11th, But nothing happened.

The President of the Society of Microbiology, Claudia Saavedra, said that while overseas it has been shown that 10 days is sufficient, in our country it is not applicable.

However, this change has not been implemented, so that's not the explanation.

The data communication engineer and specialist, Ernesto Laval, explained that the decrease is by the lag of Fiestas Patrias.

The member of the Advisory Council, Catterina Ferreccio, said we've already passed the lag of data and therefore the effects of citizenship behavior are already beginning to be noticed over the past long weekend.

According to Dr. Ferreccio's analysis, who is also director of the PhD in Epidemiology at the Catholic University, you have to pay close attention in the regions from La Araucanía to the south that are already showing uprisings that could be related to bad behavior in Fiestas Patrias, something we could see more clearly in the middle of this week.

See full story on https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/nacional/chile/2020/09/28/expertos-sugieren-que-baja-de-casos-activos-es-efecto-del-rezago-de-fiestas-patrias.shtml